sentix Economic News

Read the latest information and indications about the "first mover" among the economic indicators!

Background information on the sentix economic indicators

Loss of momentum continues

The momentum of the economic recovery in the Eurozone continues to slow down. At 16.9 points, the overall index is falling for the third time in a row. Expectations are dropping for the fifth time in a row to only 8 points. For Germany we get the first feedback after the Bundestag elections: The current assessment also slips by 5 points, while the expectations component is able to counter the global loss of momentum and even rises by 2.7 points. Overall, the signs for the global economy continue to point to a "mid-cycle slowdown". The slowdown in growth in the middle of the cycle is making headway in the major economic regions - first and foremost in the USA. The Asia ex Japan region also remains affected.

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Fourth decline in a row!

The momentum of the global economy is slowing. The expectation scores of most regions in the sentix business cycle indices are falling for the fourth or fifth time in a row. The expectation values are still positive, but the zen-ith of the economic recovery since the lockdowns last autumn has been passed. This is also evident in the as-sessments of the economic situation, which have only improved slightly in a few regions. In the important region of Asia ex Japan, on the other hand, we measure a noticeable decline.

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Third decline in a row

The global economy is running at full speed, but momentum is weakening. The slowdown in the Asia ex Japan region is also contributing to this. In the Eurozone, the recovery of the current economic situation continues. At 30.8 points, the assessment reached its highest level since October 2018. However, here, too, the expectations component lost a significant 15.8 points, marking the third decline in a row. The rule of a three-point decline should be taken seriously. As a result, the overall index for the Eurozone drops by 7.6 points. Germany's economy continues to be in boom-like shape. It rises for the 15th time in a row to 38.5 points. The expectations component halves.

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Can it get any better?

The global economy is running at full speed. Even the crisis region of Latin America is back in positive territory for the first time since May 2018. Even if the recession has not yet been fully overcome there, things are booming everywhere. The global situation index rose for the 15th time in a row to 29.4 points. Can it get any better? In the short term, there are increasing signs of overstimulation. Expectations are starting to fall. This could contribute to higher stock market volatility over the summer.

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Current situation gains momentum

The economic catch-up process continues and above all the situation is now assessed much better than four weeks ago. No wonder, since more and more restrictions are being lifted in Europe after the Corona case num-bers declined significantly. In Euroland, the situation index rises by 15 points to 21.3. This is the highest value since November 2018. The same can be observed for all other world regions. We also measure further increases in the sentix indices in Latin America and Eastern Europe, where economic activity has been subdued so far.

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