sentix Survey results (41-2023)

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Written by Patrick Hussy | 15 October 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Equity bias continues tightly upwards

The strategic bias for equities continues to point firmly upward. Investors recognize an opportunity in the price decline. However, they do not act on it, they adjust their investment behavior only slowly! The precious metals can profit from the war fear in Israel clearly. Gold sentiment jumps here dynamically, the momentum promises more. On the crypto track, vola also hints. Neutrality goes through the roof for Bitcoins.

Further results

  • Bitcoins: All-time high in neutrality
  • Gold: Sentiment impulse
  • sentix sector sentiment

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sentix Survey results (40-2023)

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Written by Patrick Hussy | 08 October 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Persistent pessimism, sustained confidence

Investor sentiment shows neutral or mostly even negative values across all asset classes. Only USD/JPY shows optimism. Otherwise, equities are struggling with persistent pessimism, as are bonds and commodities.
Paradox: In the medium term, investors may well warm to almost all assets. The investment behavior basically suggests that one should take more risk at the moment.

Further results

  • Bonds: Instis are especially confident
  • FX: Special position USD/JPY
  • sentix economic index: Monday, 09th Oct. 2023 at 10:30 CEST

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sentix Survey results (39-2023)

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Written by Manfred Hübner | 01 October 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Fundamental confidence surprisingly improves

From a stock bull's perspective, the past week has not felt good. Nevertheless, investors' underlying confidence has improved! This is bullish news for investors at the start of the usually promising fourth quarter of the year. We also measure significant changes in fundamental confidence on USD-JPY and crude oil.

Further results

  • USD-JPY: Positioning and fundamental confidence separate
  • Crude oil: Strategic bias falls again

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sentix Survey results (38-2023)

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Written by Manfred Hübner | 24 September 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Costant fear attacks

The price weakness of the past week leads to a renewed fear attack among investors. This is a typical weakness after the September futures decline. The number of bulls has shrunk significantly. Since fundamental confidence has held up so far, the renewed fear creates more opportunities than risks. There are rare sentix indicator signals in US bonds and in USD-JPY.

Further results

  • Bonds: Rare OCI signal in US bonds
  • FX: Rare TD signal in USD-JPY
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (37-2023)

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Written by Manfred Hübner | 17 September 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

How much is the seasonal headwind disturbing?

Sentiment toward equities is improving. But this does not lead to a clear increase in the number of bulls. Rather, the share of neutral investors is rising in the short term, indicating irritation. Indeed, much of the optimism rests on hopes for a typically good fourth quarter. But this is often preceded by a weak second half of September. The data also show that investors are increasingly enthusiastic about growth stocks and IPOs.

Further resuls

  • Bonds: Bias continues to improve steadily
  • Precious metals: Bias suggests further buying
  • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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